Monday, 3 March 2014

Idea of India And Idea for India: Series 2.1 – Capital Intensive Economy Vs Labor Oriented Economy


This series is on economic ideas of India and for India. This article is influenced by my reading of Made in America by Sam Walton the owner of the Wal-Mart, the world’s Fortune No.1 Company, and my reading of Small is Beautiful by E Schumacher, a very thought provoking book on sustainable economics.

Labor Oriented Economy is purely Gandhian economy which is practiced from ancient India. It is purely an Idea of India. It is people centric & not productivity centric. It is based on providing livelihood. The byproduct of this industry are: people’s harmony, need based consumption, equity of wealth, dignity of labor, sustainable development & production, regeneration of the raw materials, environmental harmony, art & cultural participation & appreciation, local art & artisan development, craftsman development and encouragement, local market etc., The world order created by this type of economy is mainly: Cooperative Movement & Cottage Industry. These 2 are discussed in detail later in the next article.

Capital Intensive Economy is a classic Western Idea for India.
Capital Intensive Economy means, the industry & economy centered on the Investment, Productivity, Quantity etc. It is simply driven on what is the return on investment. Time is of essence. Money is of essence. Industry has to produce maximum output in minimum time & effort. A by-product of this is excessive mechanization. Machines start replacing humans for quality and quantity production hence reducing labor requirement pushing up unemployment & agitation. Another byproduct is over production which in turn pushes for over consumption resulting in the monstrous “Consumerism”. Where one can live with 3 pairs of socks is enticed to buy 6 pairs for 3 pairs free creating a demand for 9 pairs which is not really the demand in a normal market. As one market saturates, companies are driven to find newer markets for their products. So this results in 2 major “World Order” s: Free Market Economy & Large Conglomerates. These 2 are discussed in detail in the sections below.

But before delving into those topics, let’s look at what is capital and where does it come from?

Capital is “Tomorrow’s Money = Loan”.

Capital is very cheap. World’s big banks are ready to lend money at less than 1% interest. They need credit worthiness. If a city commits to complete a fly over in 25 months and meets the timeline, that’s it, it is credit worthy. Then all banks queue up with the city to complete more flyovers, metro etc., then the city, country, states will get into debt cycle infinitely. The USA for example is the biggest debtor. (Data: http://www.mdleasing.com/nationdebt.htm ). Who cares? The country also runs on debt and the same mentality is encouraged for the public also. Everyone in US runs on debt only. If anyone is debt free then he is fool. So they go for higher commitment, higher consumption & live on credit. There is no ‘savings for tomorrow’ mentality. Living on ‘tomorrow’s money’ is considered wise in developed countries.

So the consumer becomes rich, and producer becomes poor!! Horribly convoluted idea. Isnt it? Similarly foreign exchange, stocks, bonds, is all very complex webs of deceits. All producing countries in east & tropical are rich in natural resources, minerals, plants, animals etc., people are also pious, intelligent, well behaved and hard working. But they are Lilliput in front of the monstrous consuming western countries. So what is the root cause? I would vehemently argue the LOAN formulas are the root of this evil design. All sorts of mathematical formula towards, today’s economic confusion are well rewarded by Nobel Prize. The Nobel Prize in Economics is only reserved for creation of wealth for the western nations.

When British came to India, they wanted to trade. They wanted to buy spices, diamond, emerald etc., But with what? They had to trade with something. Bullion in either Gold or Silver was standard trading means. But India already had plenty of it & didn't get excited. So they started with “we pay later”. They stocked and shipped items. They cut deals with local kings to build forts around ports of their exit. One important thing they did was fortification of ports and developing security of it using ammunition, guns, canons etc. Slowly they hit upon helping one feudal king to fight the other with arms & ammunition. And the rest is history.  

Coming back to the living on LOAN. In the ancient India, there was a visionary Philosopher called Caravaka. He proposed a system of Materialistic philosophy called Lokayata espousing religious indifference. Because our religion basically espouses, minimal living ideals like: vairagya (detachment), thyaga (Renunciation), seva (Service of elders & needy). His materialistic philosophy rubbished these ideals and espoused, take LOAN and live a life of luxury. His philosophy came about around 5th-6th cent BC. At which time, Buddhism was at peak which also espoused ‘desire is the cause of misery’. Mauryan kingdom was at helm. Most kingdoms adopted Kautilya’s Arthashastra to run their economy. There was very high opposition to Lokayata. No kings adopted Lokayata. But still it seems to have survived long in India in pockets. There are records of this philosophy debated in Akbar’s philosophy meets also. During Vijayanagara kingdom a great philosopher Sayana Madhavacharya, and Advaita vedanthi, wrote a book called ‘Sarvadarshanasangraha’. In that book he details the merits of Lokayata in the beginning and takes up thread by thread to demerit and demolish the ideals. It seems to have laid the final nail on that philosophy then. 

But alas! It is now raising its ugly head through western influence on India.

1.0 Free Market Economy:

This is one of the most embraced ideas around the world in the recent years. This is how the developed countries became developed. So this is vehemently thrust upon the developing countries to bring them up. India opening the flood gates since 1990’s though a series of trade liberalization legislations. It is reeling under its pressure now. It is also an irreversible phenomenon. So we cannot go back to the closed economy regime. Also in the closed economy, the Indian companies become laggards and compromise on the innovation, technological advancement, agility and global competitiveness. For example, Bajaj scooters were notorious for their bend & kick, difficult hand gears etc., But same company today is producing some of the best indigenous bikes and continuously innovating. Similarly, ITI phones, Ambassador cars, Televista TVs, Mafatlal suitings etc., Either they are bought over, or revived.

What is free market economy? Basically it is to make India a free market for the world. Removal of import duty on all items. So that makes all foreign products to compete with local products on equal footing. So immediately in the aftermath of the liberalization, in the 90’s, many local companies tumbled big time. Like Kirloskar, Videocon, Bajaj, Godrej, many units of Tatas like Tata Steel, etc., Because they couldn’t compete with the sudden surge of foreign brands vying to capture the Indian market. But most of our companies have revived big time since. Because once India signed Free Trade Agreement with other countries, our companies get free access to their markets. And hence the global competition has pushed our companies on the world stage. Today, for example, Tatas are a big conglomerate in UK!! J Spate of acquisitions there like Tetley Tea, Jaguar Landrover, Corus steel etc., has pushed it well on the world stage. Tables are turning!

1.1 Consumerism Monster

But the bad thing is free market economy has become a monster. It feeds only the greedy. It drives a very large section of people homeless, slum dwellers. It creates large scale migration, monotonous labors, long working hours, loss of dignity. It creates very large companies, large conglomerates, which can arm twist the governments in their favor.

Lets take American example. As a country of 250Million people it consumes about 25 clothes per person per year. The car population is about 1 per person. These are just 2 examples to give an idea. The self-indulgence life style is high but its consequences are unknown to them. They think they are leading normal life. For example, the high competition of apparel export creates unhygienic, high risk working environments in Bangladesh, China, and India. The producing workers don’t have enough clothes for themselves. But who does it matter? Recently in Bangladesh, a very large clothes manufacturing company building supplying to Wal-Mart collapsed killing thousands of people. America doesn’t ask for flouting security norms, hygiene norms etc., But it simply demands more, and does volume business. It goes to anyone who gives them volume discount. If the company supplying it, is squeezing humans and country is supporting it, it doesn’t care. We can see the same phenomenon of continuous squeeze in Software services too! In 90’s it was a sunrise industry, so the labor dignity was enviously high in that industry. Today it is not the case.

When it comes car production, it requires so much of minerals extraction, environment degradation, people displacement. For car running, it requires again all the fuel extraction, river basins impact, etc., So all those associated bad things are outsourced out of the country. Hence the developed country’s citizen doesn’t know & hence doesn’t care how he lives. He doesn’t even realize he is leading a self-indulgence life which has a spiral impact on someone else in some other country driving him to abject poverty, depriving his access to clear air, water, food.


Once the developed countries became saturated market, they are making developing countries as their free market. And India’s urban population is best field to play. We are playing well into their hands. We have created a similar self-indulgent society in the urban middleclass in India. And that society creates enormous demand on the earth’s natural resources by their insatiable consumerist lifestyle. It starts a spiral effect exploiting the earth and its resources, impoverishing the people and regions. 
References:

2.0 Large Companies, Conglomerates:

This is a very typical Idea of the western world that India has greatly embraced. But it is quite unfortunate for the country. It doesn’t create equitable wealth. It concentrates ugly, humongous wealth with few individuals.

There is a very wide deep rooted belief that large conglomerates are the saviors of India’s economy; Following are some of the myths of the large conglomerates:
1.       A large conglomerate is responsible for a very large employment & hence socially responsible
        a.       Otherwise people would die of unemployment?
2.       A large company is large tax payer and helps running economy
3.       Large company is environment sensitive, responsible
4.       They can invest on R&D and future of the world innovations

2.1 Large Tax Payment Myth:

Lets say a trader opens a shop in a corner in a city. He does business for couple of years, and he does well. He balances his accounts, pays salary for his employees & himself, and makes profit. On the profit, he pays tax. The post-tax profit he either ploughs back into the business or takes home as personal money.

He then looks at the prospect of opening another shop. He takes loan from a bank. Bank allows loan based on his business & balance of accounts. The loan is basically tomorrow’s money and bank takes the risk on his ability to generate that tomorrow’s money.

He does well & business grows well. His risk taking appetite gets him to open few more such shops, all on loans. The loan keeps increasing, but the risk is shifted to the bank & he keeps increasing his asset building. For accounting purpose the shops are liabilities and not assets. But for him it is assets. So the loan also helps contain the taxes to bare minimum. And that also encourages the entrepreneur to keep growing his business across cities, counties, states, countries, continents and on and on. 
So the large tax payment myth is busted. If he were to run a small business, after the loan clearance, he would pay taxes on one shop & continue business for ever. And similarly 100 such shops by different individual owners would do business paying taxes from each of them. Now they are all bulldozed by one large player who doesn’t pay tax as he is on loan always!

2.2 Social and Environment Responsibility Myth

Back to the story. His ambition to expand further is limited by lot of accounting, balancing loans and that revenue is trickling branch by branch. So he intends to go public! This public trading is another big scam that the western world has created. When he is going public, the market analyzes his business & prospects and gives a verdict that he will grow by 20 times in next 5 years! That’s it. If his revenues are $1Mil for annum today, the market evaluates his company as $20Mil. So he rises $20M overnight that too from the public! So the entire risk of the business is shifted to the public! If “he fails”, the “public lose money”!! But do the public see it that way. No it is a crowd mentality; everyone is upbeat as long as it lasts.

It lasts as long as that business idea keeps generating revenue as per market expectations. In this case as long as he keeps opening shops and generating revenue. That’s why he goes across county, country, continent, world. Apply same logic for Car manufacturers, Earth movers, Oil&Gas extractors, Airplane manufacturers, Software, Hardware product developers, services etc.,. If they are public companies, they have to keep growing. Any slowdown they go down in history. All of these industries (Yes even software, hardware also) require enormous amount of earth excavation, hills, forest, and rivers destruction. Tribals in hills, forests, rural population to become victims of displacement.

The government is so helpless in the tax collection from big companies, that they have given up, and pushing “mandatory  CSR spend” by large corporates now. CSR = Corporate Social Responsibility. It is another very big scam. Corporate buys a million, 20Rs Notebook, and hope to distribute it to poor students. It calls for corporate individuals to donate “time” for the distribution. The corporate while encouraging the rat race doesn’t incentivize CSR activities. I have seen even good hearted people getting frustrated and giving up. So where do those note books end up? It is up to your wild imagination. No level of CSR can match government, not even, Azim premji’s education foundation. I’m not undermining that great person’s good heart. It is greatly laudable. But private entities are private. One quarter results go bad, they pull the plug out.

References:
http://indianexpress.com/article/business/economy/mandatory-2-csr-spend-set-to-kick-in-from-april-1/

2.3 Large Employment generation Myth:

The large conglomerate of course generates a lot of employment. Because it is large. But it is at the cost of killing SMB s (Small & Medium Business). And in comparison of those SMB s would otherwise have created a lot more jobs, lot more independent businesses. Take for example Apollo pharmacy chain or any other medical shop chains. You won’t get any medicine there. But only get toothpaste, soaps, cosmetics etc., and some cough syrup/ crocin. Why? Because they are a profit making company & not a public service company. They have to have optimized storage, inventory, maximum goods transportation in minimum trips, maximum sales in a day etc., So they become only FMCG company and not medicine shop. So their service to the society is also bad.

If it is a group of multi owned medical shops, then they need to serve their customer’s needs in order to make business. Because they have only one shop to survive on & few customers in their area. So they work with multiple suppliers. So it creates an environment for specialized suppliers in each area. Some are general medicine suppliers, some are cold storage based, etc., Similarly inventory owners in each area and their network.

So each are independent business owners. SMBs. So they hold their head high with dignity and work hard, under nobody’s compulsion but their own desire to do well and serve better. They create large employment, independent small businesses.

So why not everyone become big tycoons if it is so easy? By just passing the risks from himself to bank and then to the public.

A formal education ends with certification or graduation etc., A high point of graduation is landing a high paying job in a big company. At that point in time nothing beats that feeling. And normal population once financially independent, doesn’t look for risk taking in life. Entrepreneurs are rare in population, probably 1 in 1000. They have such abundance of energy, they don’t wait for formal graduation, certification etc., they jump out and start out on their gut feel. Again in that most end up being SMBs. But really perseverant, brave, intelligent are those who break out of the league. It takes lot of courage. Once they become big, then it is not the personal greed but the whole system including government, private competition, employees, doesn’t let the corporate settle down at a certain level at all. It has to grow, big, large and enormous.

Next Series 2.2: I wanted to cover the topics of Labour Oriented Economy in this series itself. But this itself became so big, that I have to carve out another article to complete the Economic Ideas topic.

Kindly put your comments and suggestions to move forward.  

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